Bracketology 2023: On The Lookout For Bid Thieves

The top four seeds in each region of the bracket projection for Saturday, March 11, 2023.

I’ll have a look at the bubble and bid thievery action after the bracket. I’ve also written up a breakdown of the teams near the cut line.

Text-Only Bracket for Screen Readers and Seed List


Graphics by Chris Dobbertean using logos from either, Wikimedia Commons, or the institutions’ websites.

Graphic by Chris Dobbertean using logos from

Lowest-ranked NET at-large: Vanderbilt (79)
Lowest-ranked KenPom at-large: Vanderbilt (79)

Highest-ranked NET exclusion: Nevada (37)
Highest-ranked KenPom exclusion: Oklahoma State (38)

Bids By Conference

23 single-bid conferences

Many teams that recorded needed wins on Thursday fail to capitalize on Friday.Mississippi State, Clemson, Oklahoma State, Oregon, and Arizona State all were blown out. The exceptions were Rutgers, which lost by five to Purdue, along with Penn State, Utah State, and Vanderbilt who actually managed to buck the trend and win. More challenges remain today for those three fortunate squads, though there are some bid thieves waiting to cause some chaos.

Given how the Selection Committee didn’t include Texas A&M after its run to last season’s SEC final in Tampa, Vanderbilt should really try to take care of business today and tomorrow in Nashville.

The Nittany Lions are all but off the bubble now, so the danger in Chicago lurks in the Buckeyes’ late push for relevance. Note that the Boilermakers swept the season series and Penn State defeated Indiana in State College. The atmosphere at the United Center will be completely different today, however.

Bubble teams need a Houston-Memphis final.

The Aggies will take their fate out of the Committee’s hands if they avenge the Aztecs’ season sweep.

It’s a rubber match between the Owls, who are safely in the field, and Blazers, who won the C-USA Tournament a season ago. If Andy Kennedy’s squad repeats, one bubble team will drop into the NIT.

There are a total of 13 championship games on today’s schedule, with the America East currently underway on ESPN2. After the American semifinals conclude, all that will be left this weekend are finals, running all the way past midnight on the East Coast (on “Spring Ahead” night) with the Pac-12 and WAC finals. You can find all of the info at Conference Tournament Central.

Since tomorrow is Selection Sunday, I will have two projections—one in the morning and the final offering right before the big show starts at 6 Eastern.

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