RPI and schedule data from Basketball State (subscription), accessed on January 17, 2011. This information only reflects games played against Division I opponents through Monday, January 17, 2011.
First Four Out
38. Butler Bulldogs
Record: 12-6 overall; 5-2 conference; 2-3 vs. RPI Top 50; 4-0 vs. RPI 51-100; 5-0 vs. RPI 150+; 6-5 Road/Neutral
Average RPI win: 119 Loss: 81
Last Week: won at Detroit 87-64, lost at Wright State 69-64
This Week: Green Bay (Fri.), Milwaukee (Sun.)
Butler slips out after dropping a close one to Wright State Sunday. The good thing for the Bulldogs is they dominate the current Horizon leader, Valparaiso, since they may need the auto bid to get in this year. Continued improvement by Florida State, Washington State, and Stanford, the Bulldogs' three best non-league wins could provide a boost for their at-large chances.
39. UCLA Bruins
Record: 11-6 overall; 3-2 conference; 1-3 vs. RPI Top 50; 1-2 vs. RPI 51-100; 8-0 vs. RPI 150+; 3-4 Road/Neutral
Average RPI win: 192 Loss: 53
Last Week: won at Oregon State 62-57, won at Oregon 67-59
This Week: California (Thu.), Stanford (Sat.)
The Bruins pulled off the exact opposite of USC this week, sweeping the Oregon schools, moving them back into the bubble conversation. A home sweep of the decent Bay Area schools would do wonders for a resume that includes a nice win over BYU, but also a bad loss to Montana.
40. Miami Hurricanes
Record: 12-5 overall; 1-2 conference; 2-2 vs. RPI Top 50; 1-2 vs. RPI 51-100; 6-0 vs. RPI 150+; 4-5 Road/Neutral
Average RPI win: 164 Loss: 63
Last Week: def. Boston College 72-71
This Week: Florida State (Wed.), at NC State (Sun.)
The Hurricanes remain on the outside looking in, barely. Their biggest issue is that their three most important wins took place at home, with two of those taking place back in the early season. A win over Florida State Wednesday would force me to reconsider.
41. Richmond Spiders (A-10 at-large)
Record: 13-5 overall; 2-1 conference; 1-1 vs. RPI Top 50; 2-3 vs. RPI 51-100; 8-0 vs. RPI 150+; 6-3 Road/Neutral
Average RPI win: 183 Loss: 81
Last Week: lost to Rhode Island 78-74
This Week: George Washington (Wed.), at Massachusetts (Sat.)
The Spiders drop out after a midweek loss to Rhode Island. The win over Purdue is simply starting to look more and more like an outlier with each passing game.
Next Four Out
42. Baylor Bears
Record: 12-5 overall; 2-2 conference; 0-2 vs. RPI Top 50; 0-3 vs. RPI 51-100; 10-0 vs. RPI 150+; 2-4 Road/Neutral
Average RPI win: 207 Loss: 64
Last Week: def. Oklahoma 74-61, lost at Iowa State 72-57, lost to Kansas 85-65
This Week: Oklahoma State (Sat.), at Kansas State (Mon.)
The Bears fall out because they simply haven't beaten anyone of note. Their lone top 100 win last week, Lipscomb, dropped down a category because the Bisons have been struggling lately. With other teams, like Florida State (who the Bears lost to in Hawai'i) and Penn State upping their games, Scott Drew's club needs to do the same.
43. Clemson Tigers
Record: 13-4 overall; 2-1 conference; 1-1 vs. RPI Top 50; 3-3 vs. RPI 51-100; 8-0 vs. RPI 150+; 3-3 Road/Neutral
Average RPI win: 184 Loss: 69
Last Week: def. Georgia Tech 87-62
This Week: at North Carolina (Tue.), at Maryland (Sat.)
The Tigers cruised past a bad Georgia Tech team last week, but their real path to the tournament begins Tuesday in Chapel Hill, a place where they famously have never won.
44. Cleveland St. Vikings
Record: 14-3 overall; 5-2 conference; 0-3 vs. RPI Top 50; 4-0 vs. RPI 51-100; 6-0 vs. RPI 150+; 7-3 Road/Neutral
Average RPI win: 142 Loss: 28
Last Week: won at Youngstown State 61-51
This Week: Detroit (Thu.), Wright State (Sat.)
The Vikings rebounded from a bad trip to Indiana with a closer than expected win over travel partner Youngstown State. Once again, a close loss at West Virginia and wins over Iona, Akron, and Kent State won't be enough for an at-large, no matter how gaudy the computer numbers.
45. Wichita St. Shockers
Record: 14-3 overall; 6-1 conference; 0-3 vs. RPI Top 50; 0-0 vs. RPI 51-100; 9-0 vs. RPI 150+; 6-2 Road/Neutral
Average RPI win: 188 Loss: 15
Last Week: won at Creighton 68-54, won at Drake 68-54
This Week: Northern Iowa (Wed.), Indiana State (Sat.)
The Shockers picked up a pair of 14-point wins this week to stay a game behind Missouri State in the Valley race. Surprisingly, the Sycamores are packing the most punch of this week's opponent, as they're tied with the Shockers for second at the moment.