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NCAA Basketball Bracketology: Updated S-Curve For February 16, 2011

As you might expect, there wasn't a lot of change in the bracket after one night of action, particuarly at the top, but things did shift a bit between lines 7 and 12, thanks to the night's results.

For reference, here's Tuesday's full bracket projection.

Teams marked with an asterisk (*) own their respective conference's automatic bid at the moment.

1 line 1. Ohio State*
2. Texas*
3. Pittsburgh*
4. Duke*
2 line 8. San Diego State*
7.  Notre Dame
6. BYU 5. Kansas
3 line 9. Georgetown
10. Wisconsin
11. Florida* 12. Connecticut
4 line 16. Syracuse
15. North Carolina
14. Villanova
13. Purdue
5 line 17. Kentucky
18. Louisville
19. Arizona* 20. Texas A&M
6 line 24. Xavier*
23. Temple
22. Vanderbilt 21. Missouri
7 line 25. St. John's
26. West Virginia 27. Washington 28. UCLA
8 line 32. UNLV 31. Illinois 30. George Mason* 29. Florida State
9 line 33. St. Mary's*   34. Tennessee
35. Minnesota 36. Old Dominion
10 line 40. Boston College 39. Wichita State* 38. Richmond 37. Utah State*
11 line 41. Cincinnati 42. Virginia Tech  43. Georgia 44. Memphis
12 line 48. Kansas State
(First Four)
47. Colorado State
(First Four)
46. Butler
(First Four)
45. Marquette
13 line 49. Michigan State
(First Four)
50. Valparaiso*
51. Princeton*
(13 seeds begin)
52. Belmont*
14 line 56. Oakland*
55. Coastal Carolina*
(14 seeds begin)
54. College of Charleston*
53. UTEP*
15 line 57. Montana*
58. Kent State*
59. Bucknell*
(15 seeds begin)
60. Vermont*
16 line 64. Hampton*
63. Long Island*
(16 seeds begin)
62. Murray State*
61. Fairfield*
17 line
(First Four)
65. Florida Atlantic*
66. Long Beach State*
67. Texas State*
68. Texas Southern*


First Four Out
69. Baylor
70. Gonzaga 71. VCU 72. Colorado
Next Four Out
73. Oklahoma State
74. Washington State
75. Cleveland State
76. Missouri State

Virginia Tech topped Maryland, 91-83, in Blacksburg to complete a season sweep of the Terps, severely damaging Gary Williams' team's already slim chances.

Marquette drops down to the last team above the First Four, after they lost to rising St. John's, 80-68. The defeat was only the Golden Eagles' second at home this season.

Michigan State remains in, as the very last team in, even with a loss to No. 1 overall Ohio State, as Baylor won't be jumping in after only beating NAIA Wayland Baptist by only 14 at home.

The CAA is in good shape to get at least two bids, as George Mason continues to build a case for an at-large and decent seed, as they handed VCU their second straight home loss (first time that's happened at the Siegel Center), 71-51. The Patriots have clinched at least a tie for the conference crown. Old Dominion, a 60-43 winner over Georgia State, would be the second at-large pick out of the Colonial, while the Rams may have to win the tournament to get a bid, thanks to three bad RPI losses.

Coastal Carolina drops from a 13 to a 14 after dropping their first Big South game, a 59-57 home loss to Gardner-Webb. That's the Chanticleers' first loss in 22 games, and leaves Princeton and Texas as the only two teams in the country who remain unbeaten in conference play.

Another update will follow tomorrow morning.

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