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E-mails are always welcome.  You can reach me at bloggingthebracket at gmail dot com.

 

 

 

Compare Me with Other Bracketologists

You can see how my brackets compare with others at the Bracket Project matrix, run by the very busy Brian Phan.  How did I do last year?  Not badly at all. (stats)


Bracketology S-Curve For February 3, 2012

The first edition of Bid Watch was just posted over at SB Nation. Here's the S-curve that accompanies it.

Auto bids in bold.

1 seeds 1. Syracuse
2. Kentucky
3. Baylor
4. Ohio State
2 seeds 8. North Carolina
7. Missouri
6. Kansas
5. Duke
3 seeds 9. Michigan State
10. UNLV
11. Georgetown
12. Marquette
4 seeds 16. Murray State
15. Florida
14. Wisconsin
13. Creighton
5 seeds 17. Michigan
18. San Diego State
19. Virginia
20. St. Mary's
6 seeds 24. Temple
23. Vanderbilt
22. Florida State
21. Mississippi State
7 seeds 25. Indiana
26. West Virginia
27. Illinois
28. Connecticut
8 seeds 32. Kansas State
31. Southern Miss.
30. Gonzaga
29. Louisville
9 seeds 33. Wichita State
34. Memphis
35. Purdue
36. Seton Hall
10 seeds 40. New Mexico
39. Harvard
38. Iowa State
37. Washington
11 seeds 41. Minnesota
42. Xavier
43. Notre Dame
44. Saint Louis
12 seeds 48. Dayton
(First Four)
47. Alabama
(First Four)
46. Cincinnati
45. Middle Tenn.
12-13 seeds 49. Long Beach State 50. Arkansas
(First Four)
51. California
(First Four)
52. La Salle
13-14 seeds 56. Oral Roberts
55. Iona
54. Cleveland State 53. Davidson
14-15 seeds 57. Akron
58. Nevada
59. Drexel
60. Weber State
15-16 seeds 64. Long Island
63. Bucknell
62. Norfolk State
61. Belmont
16 seeds (First Four)
65. Stony Brook
66. UT Arlington
67. UNC Asheville
68. Miss. Valley St.
Last Four Out
69. BYU
70. Texas
71. Northwestern
72. Mississippi
Next Four Out 73. Colorado State
74. N.C. State
75. UCF
76. Stanford

My next full update will come on Monday. Enjoy the busy weekend of hoops!

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1 comment  | 

Plenty of changes from last week, and from the first actual bracket of the season, which I released just four weeks ago.

5 days ago Chris_d_profile_tiny Chris Dobbertean 0 comments

Bracketology S-Curve For January 29, 2012

As usual, I've posted an S-curve as a preview to Monday's full bracket up on SB Nation. My next updated S-curve will come at some point on Friday, either in the morning to go along with the first Bid Watch post of the season, or in the evening.

Auto bids in bold.

1 seeds 1. Syracuse
2. Kentucky
3. Baylor
4. Ohio State
2 seeds 8. North Carolina
7. Missouri
6. Kansas
5. Duke
3 seeds 9. Michigan State
10. UNLV
11. Creighton
12. Georgetown
4 seeds 16. Murray State
15. Vanderbilt
14. Wisconsin
13. Marquette
5 seeds 17. Virginia
18. San Diego State
19. Florida
20. Michigan
6 seeds 24. West Virginia
23. Temple
22. Mississippi State
21. St. Mary's
7 seeds 25. Connecticut
26. Indiana
27. Florida State
28. Louisville
8 seeds 32. Southern Miss.
31. Kansas State
30. Gonzaga
29. Illinois
9 seeds 33. Seton Hall
34. Wichita State
35. Purdue
(switched to a 10)
36. Memphis
10 seeds 40. Alabama
39. California
38. Minnesota
37. New Mexico (switched to a 9)
11 seeds 41. Dayton
42. Xavier
43. Cincinnati
44. Middle Tenn.
12 seeds 48. Colorado State
(First Four)
47. Saint Louis
(First Four)
46. Harvard
45. Notre Dame
12-13 seeds 49. Iowa State
(First Four)
50. Washington
(First Four)
51. Long Beach State
52. Massachusetts
13-14 seeds 56. Akron
55. Oral Roberts
54. Cleveland State 53. Davidson
14-15 seeds 57. Iona
58. Nevada
59. George Mason
60. Weber State
15-16 seeds 64. Long Island
63. Bucknell
62. Norfolk State
61. Mercer
16 seeds (First Four)
65. Stony Brook
66. UT Arlington
67. UNC Asheville
68. Miss. Valley St.
Last Four Out
69. Oklahoma
70. Northwestern
71. BYU
72. Marshall
Next Four Out 73. Stanford
74. Mississippi
75. UCF
76. Oregon

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UPDATED: How I Determine Regular Season Conference Auto Bids

Since this topic is going to come up in this week's bracket, I figured that I would share with you how I determine who receives each of the 31 automatic bids during a regular season bracket projection.

Before Conference Play

  1. The conference team with the best winning percentage against Division I competition, since games against non-D1 teams are not counted toward a team's profile for selection and seeding.
  2. If two or more teams are tied on winning percentage, the team with the most Division I wins gets the spot.
  3. If two or more teams are still tied, the team with the highest RPI gets in.

During Conference Play

  1. The team with the best conference winning percentage gets in.
  2. If two or more teams are tied on winning percentage, the team with the best record in games against the teams in question gets in.
  3. If two or more teams are still tied, the team with the most conference wins earns the bid.
  4. If two or more teams are still tied, the team with the most overall Division I wins gets the spot.
  5. If two or more teams are still tied, the team with the highest RPI is in.
  6. Once a team clinches its conference's regular season championship (or best record, if the conference has divisions), it will remain in the bracket until it falls in the conference tournament.

Conference Tournament

  1. See item no. 6 above.
  2. If a regular season champion falls before the championship game, the highest remaining seed will hold the automatic bid in the bracket. This rule holds as high seeds fall.
  3. Naturally, the conference tournament winner will appear in the bracket (in bold), once the trophy is awarded.

Hopefully, this will clear up any confusion as to why an unexpected team may be in the field as a conference leader. As the weeks move on and there's more balance in league scheduling, these instances should become even more limited.

0 comments  | 

Longwood Heading To The Big South As The List Of Independents Continues To Shrink

All that's left now is to find Cal State Bakersfield a conference home.

Longwood University , the Farmville, Virginia school with an enrollment of around 4,800, is finally headed to a conference after spending its first five years in Division I as an independent, and the Lancers didn't even have to settle from a geographic or competitive perspective to make the move. On July 1st, Longwood will become the Big South Conference's 12th member, a move that seemed inevitable, even if it took forever to happen. The Big South features three other Virginia schools--Liberty, Radford, and VMI--and eight in the Carolinas. The travel factor, along with the possibility of increased access to NCAA Championships, makes this a great move for one of Division I's newest members.

I've updated the Conference Changes for 2012-13 (And Beyond) page with this information.

(HT: Patrick Stevens of The Washington Times @D1scourse)

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Bracketology S-Curve For January 22, 2012

As tomorrow is a winter Monday that's not a holiday, my full bracket projection will be up on SBNation.com at some point in the morning. To whet your appetite in the meantime, here's the S-curve.

Auto bids in bold.

1 seeds 1. Syracuse
2. Kentucky
3. Ohio State
4. Kansas
2 seeds 8. North Carolina
7. Baylor
6. Missouri
5. Duke
3 seeds 9. Michigan State
10. UNLV
11. Georgetown
12. Seton Hall
4 seeds 16. West Virginia
15. Murray State
14. Indiana
13. Creighton
5 seeds 17. Virginia
18. Connecticut
19. Illinois
20. Vanderbilt
6 seeds 24. Marquette
23. Michigan
22. San Diego State
21. St. Mary's
7 seeds 25. Kansas State
26. Mississippi State
27. Florida
28. Wisconsin
8 seeds 32. Gonzaga
31. Cincinnati
30. Alabama
29. Dayton
9 seeds 33. Florida State
34. Louisville
35. Temple
36. Wichita State
10 seeds 40. Xavier
39. Memphis
38. Purdue
37. California
11 seeds 41. UCF
42. Marshall
43. Davidson
44. Saint Louis
12 seeds 48. Minnesota
47. Middle Tenn.
46. Southern Miss.
45. Long Beach State
12-13 seeds 49. Cleveland State
50. Notre Dame
51. Marshall
(First Four)
52. Oklahoma
(First Four)
13-14 seeds 56. Oral Roberts
55. Iona
54. Oregon
(First Four)
53. New Mexico
(First Four)
14-15 seeds 57. George Mason
58. Nevada
59. Weber State
60. Ball State
15-16 seeds 64. Long Island
63. Bucknell
62. Norfolk State
61. Mercer
16 seeds (First Four)
65. Stony Brook
66. UT Arlington
67. UNC Asheville
68. Miss. Valley St.
Last Four Out
69. Northwestern
70. Arkansas
71. N.C. State
72. BYU
Next Four Out 73. Rutgers
74. Stanford
75. USF
76. Iowa State

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SB Nation Opposes SOPA And PIPA...And Blogging The Bracket Does Too

Earlier today, SB Nation posted its opposition to two bills that are making their way through Congress that could change the Internet as we know it, and not for the better. We aren't going dark like English Wikipedia or placing a black banner across our name like Google, but I'm please to see the company isn't staying silent on this topic that is flying slightly under the radar. I feel passionately about this topic, even to the point of friends considering me a "Chicken Little' on the subject.

For more information, please check out the following background pieces. They outline the issues with this poorly-thought out legislation more eloquently than I can (and with less cursing).

From Mashable: Why SOPA Is Dangerous, which breaks down some of the more odious text of the bill, and This Is The Internet After SOPA, a photo slideshow illustrating some of its impacts.

And, a letter from dozens of law professors criticizing SOPA/PIPA.

Thank you for reading and please contact your elected representatives if you want to stop these bills in their tracks. Here's a link to where you can find their contact info.

0 comments  | 

Bracketology S-Curve For January 17, 2012

Trying this again...

My full bracket for this week will be is up at SB Nation later this morning. Here's how my S-curve looks for it. There have been a trio of changes from Sunday night because of Monday's action. Stony Brook is back in as the America East rep, thanks to Albany's loss at Boston U. And, more significantly, Kansas' win over Baylor sees the Jayhawks jump Missouri for the final spot on the 2 line, thanks to a stronger overall schedule, while Kentucky jumps back ahead of the Bears on the top line.

Auto bids in bold.

1 seeds 1. Syracuse
2. Kentucky
3. Baylor
4. Ohio State
2 seeds 8. Kansas
7. Duke
6. Michigan State
5. North Carolina
3 seeds 9. Missouri
10. Georgetown
11. Connecticut
12. Indiana
4 seeds 16. Virginia
15. UNLV
14. Seton Hall
13. Illinois
5 seeds 17. West Virginia
18. Michigan
19. Creighton
20. Vanderbilt
6 seeds 24. St. Mary's
23. Marquette
22. Kansas State
21. Murray State
7 seeds 25. Mississippi State
26. Alabama
27. Louisville
28. Florida
8 seeds 32. Gonzaga
31. San Diego State
30. Wisconsin
29. Dayton
9 seeds 33. Stanford
34. Xavier
35. Cincinnati
36. Purdue
10 seeds 40. New Mexico
39. Temple
38. Memphis
37. Wichita State
11 seeds 41. Long Beach State
42. Marshall (switched to a 12)
43. Saint Louis
44. Northwestern
12 seeds 48. Southern Miss.
(First Four)
47. Harvard
(switched into Second Round as a 12 seed)
46. California
(switched into First Four as an 11 seed)
45. Iona
12-13 seeds 49. Florida State
(First Four)
50. UCF
(in the First Four as an 11 seed)
51. Massachusetts
52. Davidson
13-14 seeds 56. Akron
55. Belmont
54. Middle Tenn.
53. Oral Roberts
14-15 seeds 57. Milwaukee
58. Nevada
59. Weber State
60. Norfolk State
15-16 seeds 64. Long Island
63. Penn
62. Georgia State
61. Bucknell
16 seeds (First Four)
65. Stony Brook
66. UT Arlington
67. UNC Asheville
68. Miss. Valley St.
Last Four Out
69. BYU
70. Oklahoma
71. N.C. State
72. Texas
Next Four Out 73. Minnesota
74. Rutgers
75. St. Joseph's
76. Arkansas

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