Bracketology: Updated S-Curve And Bracket For Selection Sunday Morning

Happy Selection Sunday! After spending a few hours last night crunching numbers once again, here's my penultimate bracket selection of the season. There's a full discussion, focused on the Last Four In and First Six Out at SB Nation.

Teams in bold have clinched their respective league's automatic bid. Conference leaders/champions are denoted by an asterisk.

1 line 1. Ohio State*
2. Kansas*
3. Pittsburgh  4. Duke
2 line 8. North Carolina* 7. Florida* 6. San Diego State*
5. Notre Dame
3 line 9. Texas 10. Connecticut* 11. Syracuse
12. BYU
4 line 16. Wisconsin
15. Kentucky
14. Purdue 13. Louisville
5 line 17. St. John's
18. Vanderbilt
19. Arizona
20. Georgetown
6 line 24. Cincinnati
23. Texas A&M
22.Xavier 21. West Virginia
7 line 25. UNLV
26.Kansas State
27.Old Dominion* 28. Temple
8 line 32. Tennessee 31. Washington*
30. George Mason
29. Florida State
9 line 33. Missouri 34. Gonzaga* 35. Utah State*
36. Marquette
10 line 40. UCLA 39. Villanova
38. Michigan
37. Butler*
11 line 41. Richmond*
42. Penn State
43. Michigan State
44. Memphis*
(12 seed)
12 line 48. Virginia Tech
(First Four)
47. St. Mary's
(First Four)
46. Illinois
(11 seed)
45. Colorado
13 line 49. USC
(First Four)
50. Georgia
(First Four)
51. Belmont*
(13 seeds begin)
52. Princeton*
14 line 56. Morehead State* 55. Bucknell*
(14 seeds begin)
54. Indiana State*
53. Oakland*
15 line 57. Wofford* 58. Long Island*
59. St. Peter's*
(15 seeds begin)
60. Akron*
16 line 64. Boston University*  63. UC Santa Barbara*
(16 seeds begin)
62. Hampton* 61. Northern Colorado*
17 line
(First Four)
65. UNC Asheville 66. Arkansas-Little Rock* 67. UT San Antonio*
68. Alabama State*
First Four Out
69. Clemson
70. Boston College
71. Harvard 72. Alabama
Next Two Out


74. UAB 73. VCU

 

The full bracket is after the jump. Here is Saturday's entry for comparison.

National Semifinal Matchups

(1) East vs. (4) West
(2) Southwest vs. (3) Southeast

First Four

Automatic Bid Teams
March 15: ALABAMA STATE (SWAC) (NEW) vs. UNC ASHEVILLE (Big South) to Washington on March 17th
March 16: ARKANSAS-LITTLE ROCK (Sun Belt) vs. TEXAS-SAN ANTONIO (Southland) to Cleveland on March 18th

At-Large Teams (Last Four In)
March 15: St. Mary's vs.USC to Tampa on March 17th
March 16: Georgia vs. Virginia Tech to Chicago on March 18th

Next Four In (automatically in the Round of 64): Michigan State, Penn State, Illinois, Colorado

Previous seeds are in parentheses. Teams that have earned an auto bid are in ALL CAPS.

EAST
Newark (March 25 and 27)
SOUTHWEST
San Antonio (March 25 and 27)
Cleveland (Fri/Sun)
Tulsa (Fri/Sun)
1. Ohio State (Big Ten)
16. UALR/UTSA
1. KANSAS (Big 12)
16. UC SANTA BARBARA (Big West) (NEW) 
8. Florida State
9. Missouri (8) 
8. WASHINGTON (Pac-10) (11)
9. Marquette  
Denver (Thu/Sat)
Chicago (Fri/Sun)
5. Arizona
12. MEMPHIS (C-USA) (NEW) (natural 11) 
5. St. John's (7, natural 6)
12. Georgia/Virginia Tech
4. Kentucky
13. OAKLAND (Summit)
4. Purdue
13. BELMONT (Atlantic Sun)
Tulsa (Fri/Sun) Washington (Thu/Sat)
6. Cincinnati (7)
11. Penn State (NEW)
6. Xavier (5)
11. Illinois (natural 12) (9)
3. Texas
14. LONG ISLAND (Northeast) (15) 
3. CONNECTICUT (Big East) (4)
14. WOFFORD (Southern) (15) 
Chicago (Fri/Sun) Charlotte (Fri/Sun)
7. UNLV (6) 
10. BUTLER (Horizon) (9) 
7. Kansas State (6, natural 7)
10. Villanova
2. Notre Dame
15. AKRON (MAC) (NEW)
2. North Carolina (ACC)
15. HAMPTON (MEAC) (NEW) 
WEST
(Anaheim: March 24 and 26)
SOUTHEAST
(New Orleans: March 24 and 26)
Charlotte (Fri/Sun)
Washington (Thu/Sat)
1. Duke
16. Boston University (America East)
1. Pittsburgh
16. ALABAMA STATE/UNC ASHEVILLE 
8. George Mason
9. UTAH STATE (WAC) (10)   
8. Tennessee (9) 
9. GONZAGA (West Coast) (8) 
Tampa (Thu/Sat)
Tucson (Thu/Sat)
5. Vanderbilt (6)
12. St. Mary's/USC
5. Georgetown (6)
12. Colorado (11)
4. Louisville (3)
13. PRINCETON (Ivy) (NEW)
4. Wisconsin
13. INDIANA STATE (Missouri Valley)
Cleveland (Fri/Sun)
Denver (Thu/Sat)
6. Texas A&M (5)
11. Richmond (12) 
6. West Virginia
11. Michigan State (10)
3. Syracuse
14. BUCKNELL (Patriot)
3. BYU
14. MOREHEAD STATE (Ohio Valley)
Tucson (Thu/Sat)
Tampa (Thu/Sat)
7. OLD DOMINION (Colonial)
10. Michigan (9)
7. Temple (5)
10. UCLA
2. SAN DIEGO STATE  (Mountain West)
15. NORTHERN COLORADO (Big Sky)
2. Florida (SEC)
15. ST. PETER'S (Metro Atlantic) 


Conference Breakdown

Big East: 11
Big Ten: 7
Big 12: 6
SEC: 5
ACC, Pac-10: 4
A-10, MWC: 3
CAA, WCC: 2
21 one-bid conferences

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