Updated S-Curve For February 21, 2011

After the jump, you'll find my updated NCAA Tournament S-curve for the morning after a hectic, topsy-turvy weekend. 

Surprisingly, there weren't as many changes at the bottom of the at-large pool as anticipated, mostly because just about everyone was losing. However, teams like Alabama, Gonzaga, and Nebraska moved closer, but not into, the field, thanks to winning games (a novel concept).

I'll have a full update, including pairings and analysis tomorrow.

Teams marked with an asterisk (*) own their respective conference's automatic bid at the moment.

For reference, take a look at my Bubble Watch post over at SB Nation for how the at-large pool stacked up on Friday, and my last full S-curve from Thursday morning.

1 line 1. Ohio State*
2. Pittsburgh*
3. Kansas 4. Texas*
2 line 8. Georgetown 7.  Duke*
6. San Diego State* 5. BYU
3 line 9. Notre Dame 10. Florida* 11. Purdue 12. Louisville
4 line 16. North Carolina
15. Villanova 14. Connecticut 13. Wisconsin
5 line 17. Arizona*
18. Syracuse 19. Kentucky 20. St. John's
6 line 24. West Virginia  23. Xavier*
22. Missouri  21. Texas A&M 
7 line 25. Vanderbilt 26. Temple 27. Florida State 28. George Mason*
8 line 32. Utah State* 31. Washington
30. Tennessee 29. UCLA
9 line 33. UNLV 34. Cincinnati  35. Old Dominion 36. Georgia
10 line 40. Illinois  39. St. Mary's* 38. Michigan State  37. Kansas State 
11 line 41. Marquette
42. Minnesota 43. Butler 44. Boston College
12 line 48. Colorado State
(First Four)
47. VCU
(First Four)
46. Richmond
(First Four)
45. Virginia Tech
(First Four)
13 line 49. Cleveland State*
50. Wichita State* 51. Harvard*
(13 seeds begin)
52. Belmont*
14 line 56. Coastal Carolina* 55. Oakland*
(14 seeds begin)
54. UTEP*
53. College of Charleston*
15 line 57. Long Beach State*
59. Fairfield*
(15 seeds begin)
60. Bucknell*
16 line 64. Miami (Ohio)* 63. Murray State*
(16 seeds begin)
62. Long Island* 61. Vermont*
17 line
(First Four)
65. Florida Atlantic*
66. Bethune-Cookman*
67. Texas State*
68. Texas Southern*

First Eight Out

First Four Out
69. Baylor 70. Memphis 71. Gonzaga 72. Alabama
Next Four Out
76. Oklahoma State 75.Nebraska 74. Penn State
73. Colorado


Opportunities for change will be limited this evening, but they could be significant, thanks to the Big Monday doubleheader. In game one, Syracuse could potentially flip places with Villanova (ESPN, 7 p.m. ET), if the Orange can stop the Wildcats from hitting shots from the perimeter, a key reason they dropped the first meeting between the two at the Carrier Dome. The nightcap sees Kansas welcome Oklahoma State to Allen Fieldhouse (ESPN, 9 p.m. ET), where the Cowboys will attempt to be the second team in as many Mondays to grab a potentially season-changing win over the Jayhawks.

For info on the rest of the Monday night schedule, visit Matt Sarz's College Sports on TV site. Another good resource is the schedule page at BB State.

Please share your thoughts about today's action in the comments, after you sign up for a free SB Nation account, of course.

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