Final Projection - Storylines to Watch in the Selection Show
by Chris Dobbertean on Mar 15, 2009 5:47 PM EDT
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PrintI've completed my final projection of this year (seed list, trends). There are only a few slight changes from my last projection earlier this morning. These changes reflect some of the main storylines for tonight.
- Who gets the final one seed? Connecticut? Memphis? Duke? I ended up moving the Tigers back into the top spot in the West. The Huskies are the two seed in that region. I made the decision because Memphis has been a bit more consistent of late, even if it is against inferior opposition. UConn has been good without Jerome Dyson, but not as great as they had been.
- Who are the last couple of teams in? Mississippi State won the SEC title this afternoon after a horrifically officiated final few minutes. That eliminated San Diego State on my board. It's very close between the Aztecs, Creighton (who got the nod in my projection), St. Mary's, Arizona, and Penn State for the final spot.
I'll post a quick review of my performance compared to the actual bracket later this evening.
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On your bracket I dont see as many possible 12/5 upsets......
but I see a few possible 13/4 upsets…
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by norcaliangelsfan on Mar 15, 2009 5:52 PM EDT reply actions
I agree...
…it could be a big year for 4s.
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by Chris Dobbertean on Mar 15, 2009 5:59 PM EDT up reply actions
Louisville overall number 1.......
no problem with that…..they earned that…..so far you’re 1 for 1……
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by norcaliangelsfan on Mar 15, 2009 6:01 PM EDT reply actions
Should've stuck with UConn...
3 of 4 is OK. Got the region pairings correct at least.
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by Chris Dobbertean on Mar 15, 2009 6:03 PM EDT reply actions
yeah not too shabby........
coulda went either way…….
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by norcaliangelsfan on Mar 15, 2009 6:04 PM EDT up reply actions
The good thing is...
…they’d meet in a regional final if they both get that far.
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by Chris Dobbertean on Mar 15, 2009 6:04 PM EDT up reply actions
No big surprises yet.
Brady Hoke, Al Borges, and Rocky Long. Aztec football is back!
by Sam (sdsuaztec4) on Mar 15, 2009 6:05 PM EDT reply actions
got your fingered crossed?
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by norcaliangelsfan on Mar 15, 2009 6:05 PM EDT up reply actions
yup
i think we got a 50-50 shot
Brady Hoke, Al Borges, and Rocky Long. Aztec football is back!
by Sam (sdsuaztec4) on Mar 15, 2009 6:06 PM EDT up reply actions
You always do...
…it either happens or it doesn’t. :-)
Had to throw a Tony-ism in there in honor of Binghamton’s dance invitation.
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by Chris Dobbertean on Mar 15, 2009 6:07 PM EDT up reply actions
Committee got it right with Connecticut
But it ultimately probably won’t make a difference. 4/4 for the committee so far.
by uclaisthebest123 on Mar 15, 2009 6:05 PM EDT reply actions
fingers*
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by norcaliangelsfan on Mar 15, 2009 6:05 PM EDT reply actions
so am I correct in assuming the winning of the "play on" game
goes to face UL?
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by norcaliangelsfan on Mar 15, 2009 6:06 PM EDT reply actions
yup
Brady Hoke, Al Borges, and Rocky Long. Aztec football is back!
by Sam (sdsuaztec4) on Mar 15, 2009 6:07 PM EDT up reply actions
Since Louisville should be in Dayton...
…and the Opening Round winner will be as well, it saves the NCAA a plane trip.
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by Chris Dobbertean on Mar 15, 2009 6:08 PM EDT up reply actions
Wow...
…that 2007 game seems so far gone for the Gators.
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by Chris Dobbertean on Mar 15, 2009 6:06 PM EDT reply actions
you think Billy Donovan is rethinking that move to the Magic?
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by norcaliangelsfan on Mar 15, 2009 6:07 PM EDT up reply actions
Following that team...
…game in and game out…a tougher non-conf schedule would’ve created more trouble for them. They simply aren’t very good.
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by Chris Dobbertean on Mar 15, 2009 6:33 PM EDT up reply actions
midwest coming up
Brady Hoke, Al Borges, and Rocky Long. Aztec football is back!
by Sam (sdsuaztec4) on Mar 15, 2009 6:07 PM EDT reply actions
Got one of the play on game......
not the other…..cant believe Chatt didnt have to play that……..
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by norcaliangelsfan on Mar 15, 2009 6:10 PM EDT reply actions
Me too...
…must have given them credit for the SoCon’s strength compared to the OVC. Not that the Mocs did much to contribute to that.
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by Chris Dobbertean on Mar 15, 2009 6:16 PM EDT up reply actions
arizona??
come on. worthless.
Brady Hoke, Al Borges, and Rocky Long. Aztec football is back!
by Sam (sdsuaztec4) on Mar 15, 2009 6:11 PM EDT reply actions
oh man........Sucks for NDSU.....
against KU……
A person who performs good Karma (deeds) is always held in high esteem
12/19/08 - Thank you KLJ for coming into my life.
by norcaliangelsfan on Mar 15, 2009 6:13 PM EDT reply actions
So much for...
…a second year of perfection. Oh well…it’s not like it wasn’t really close between the last few. Nothing to complain about.
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by Chris Dobbertean on Mar 15, 2009 6:14 PM EDT reply actions
Most of your picks that you are missing could have gone either way.....
so its dang good I think
A person who performs good Karma (deeds) is always held in high esteem
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by norcaliangelsfan on Mar 15, 2009 6:15 PM EDT up reply actions
Somebody needs to explain the whole "protected seed" thing to me
The Dayton crowd probably won’t be so neutral for Ohio State-Louisville (assuming OSU gets by Siena.)
Louisville's just about as close...
…as Columbus is.
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by Chris Dobbertean on Mar 15, 2009 6:19 PM EDT up reply actions
I honestly don't think U of L cares...
…especially after winning at Carrier Dome South last night.
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by Chris Dobbertean on Mar 15, 2009 6:23 PM EDT up reply actions
as a 9 vs Ohio St......
winner to play UL
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by norcaliangelsfan on Mar 15, 2009 6:24 PM EDT up reply actions
Aggies...
…safer than I thought.
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by Chris Dobbertean on Mar 15, 2009 6:18 PM EDT reply actions
They don't deserve to be in
Brady Hoke, Al Borges, and Rocky Long. Aztec football is back!
by Sam (sdsuaztec4) on Mar 15, 2009 6:23 PM EDT up reply actions
They can bend rules...
…if they have no other options. Since BYU has to play on Thu/Sat, their options were limited.
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by Chris Dobbertean on Mar 15, 2009 6:21 PM EDT up reply actions
or yeah that
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by norcaliangelsfan on Mar 15, 2009 6:26 PM EDT up reply actions
BYU Texas Tech
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by norcaliangelsfan on Mar 15, 2009 6:26 PM EDT up reply actions
So Im still shocked that Chat didnt have the play on game.....
I mean their record is crap.
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by norcaliangelsfan on Mar 15, 2009 6:18 PM EDT reply actions
Northridge isn't a 16 either...
…not a shock.
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by Chris Dobbertean on Mar 15, 2009 6:21 PM EDT up reply actions
I mean...
…that’s a shock.
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by Chris Dobbertean on Mar 15, 2009 6:21 PM EDT up reply actions
yeah their record doesnt leave much to be desired either......
which probably means Radford is def a 16……..oh well
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by norcaliangelsfan on Mar 15, 2009 6:22 PM EDT up reply actions
Sometimes they can do it
to keep teams closer to home. Guess: Committee put Radford as a 16 so they could go to Greensboro instead of K.C.
Maryland seemed safe as well with a 10
vs. California.
by uclaisthebest123 on Mar 15, 2009 6:20 PM EDT reply actions
USU got a good draw vs Marq.......
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by norcaliangelsfan on Mar 15, 2009 6:21 PM EDT reply actions
Minnesota, SDSU, Saint Mary's, Creighton, and Penn State still off the board
by uclaisthebest123 on Mar 15, 2009 6:25 PM EDT reply actions
the less big ten the better
although I’m a huge fan of interlarding the bracket with as much bland mediocrity as possible
as you say that another Big 10 team makes it
A person who performs good Karma (deeds) is always held in high esteem
12/19/08 - Thank you KLJ for coming into my life.
by norcaliangelsfan on Mar 15, 2009 6:27 PM EDT up reply actions
Minnesota a 10 seed....
Brady Hoke, Al Borges, and Rocky Long. Aztec football is back!
by Sam (sdsuaztec4) on Mar 15, 2009 6:28 PM EDT up reply actions
Atleast Cuse definitely got a Friday game......
cuz they werent on the Thurs/Sat brackets
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by norcaliangelsfan on Mar 15, 2009 6:25 PM EDT reply actions
Not yet...
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by Chris Dobbertean on Mar 15, 2009 6:28 PM EDT up reply actions
the committee consistently seems to spend very little time on the number 14-16 seeds
some of these make no sense
Minn is in as a 10
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by norcaliangelsfan on Mar 15, 2009 6:28 PM EDT up reply actions
Minnesota a 10
Doesn’t look good for Penn State.
by uclaisthebest123 on Mar 15, 2009 6:28 PM EDT up reply actions
lol
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by norcaliangelsfan on Mar 15, 2009 6:28 PM EDT up reply actions
Yes
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by Chris Dobbertean on Mar 15, 2009 6:29 PM EDT up reply actions
Wisconsin as 12
Lower than most people thought, but not surprising.
by uclaisthebest123 on Mar 15, 2009 6:27 PM EDT reply actions
Minny higher than UW?
Brad Ziegler had a scoreless inning streak. Brad Ziegler had not met BJ Upton.
better overall record
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by norcaliangelsfan on Mar 15, 2009 6:28 PM EDT up reply actions
UCLA s 6???
Should have been a 5, FFS… Seth, go to hell.
by uclaisthebest123 on Mar 15, 2009 6:29 PM EDT reply actions
i smell an upset
Brady Hoke, Al Borges, and Rocky Long. Aztec football is back!
by Sam (sdsuaztec4) on Mar 15, 2009 6:29 PM EDT up reply actions
its funny that the BCS is totally demonized
despite being fairly transparent
meawhile, the results of a secret room are taken as golden and this tournament gets a tongue bath every year
yeah well its harder to scrutinze 34 choices.........
then it is when you do it with 2…..
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by norcaliangelsfan on Mar 15, 2009 6:30 PM EDT up reply actions
So far, yes
SDSU, St. Mary’s, and Creighton are still out with one bracket to go. Have to say I saw this coming, though.
by uclaisthebest123 on Mar 15, 2009 6:31 PM EDT up reply actions
WKU and Temple still not on the board
They’re both around the 11-12 range. Doesn’t look good for the last few bubble teams.
uh the majority of Wisconsin players are black....
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by norcaliangelsfan on Mar 15, 2009 6:34 PM EDT up reply actions
BOOOOO Radford going against UNC.....
crap
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by norcaliangelsfan on Mar 15, 2009 6:34 PM EDT reply actions
none of the higher seeds are following any logic
as I said above, its been clear for years that the committee spends about five minutes on these seeds, icluding, some years, the play i game
Damn Gonzaga got a good draw for the first two rounds
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by norcaliangelsfan on Mar 15, 2009 6:35 PM EDT reply actions
uh tell that to the guys who played Wyoming a few years ago
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by norcaliangelsfan on Mar 15, 2009 6:36 PM EDT up reply actions
speaking of white guys for fans......lol
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by norcaliangelsfan on Mar 15, 2009 6:39 PM EDT up reply actions
30 at large from big conferences 4 from smaller conferences
Arizona is an awful awful awful pick that was all about politics
Brady Hoke, Al Borges, and Rocky Long. Aztec football is back!
by Sam (sdsuaztec4) on Mar 15, 2009 6:41 PM EDT up reply actions
how did the Big 10 get 7 teams in?
gross
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by norcaliangelsfan on Mar 15, 2009 6:37 PM EDT reply actions
Orange indeed did get Fri/Sun...
…if only I had more time off, I’d go down for it.
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by Chris Dobbertean on Mar 15, 2009 6:38 PM EDT reply actions
its been going down every year..........
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by norcaliangelsfan on Mar 15, 2009 6:40 PM EDT up reply actions
We spend all the time in the world complaining
about the BCS… maybe it’s time to start complaining about this as well
And it might have been 3
If Butler won the Horizon.
by uclaisthebest123 on Mar 15, 2009 6:40 PM EDT up reply actions
MWC is better than some "power" conferences
I’m looking at you SEC
Brady Hoke, Al Borges, and Rocky Long. Aztec football is back!
by Sam (sdsuaztec4) on Mar 15, 2009 6:48 PM EDT up reply actions
There is no reason any At Large team should get in if they have less than 20 wins......
ever
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by norcaliangelsfan on Mar 15, 2009 6:40 PM EDT reply actions
well the NIT is gonna have some good games...
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by norcaliangelsfan on Mar 15, 2009 6:41 PM EDT reply actions
Well duh
gotta show more love than necessary to the power-conferences school that make their channel live.
Arguments are constantly over the schedule
small conference teams can’t control who’s in their conference… and it’s not like they can just wake up one day and decide to move to a bigger conference.
And then the OoC schedule… you can only play better teams if they agree… and quite often, they don’t.
Seriously
Seth Davis just said he wanted more power conference teams in the tournament… and then two seconds later says that if they’re going to expand the tournament, they should expand it to include more smaller-conference teams?
Is he running for elective office or something?
yup.....heard the same thing......
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by norcaliangelsfan on Mar 15, 2009 6:59 PM EDT up reply actions
Bilas is a fool
He just thinks that the Big East and ACC ARE the tournament.
My theory on why Andy Reid doesn't like running the football.
When Andy Reid was 6, his parents wanted him to lose some weight and always asked him to go to the park and run, Annoyed, Andy said "No I'll pass".
Wisconsin
Slive basically just admitted they’re really an 11 and not a 12 but couldn’t be an 11 because of conflicts (Big Ten teams in the bottom half of three brackets, Marquette as the 6 in the fourth.)
Arizona had no right to get in
They had ZERO road conference wins outside of the Oregon schools (and they barely beat Oregon State), and just collapsed down the stretch and did nothing in the Pac-10 tournament to help their case.
Now that I think about it I find it disturbing that the committee must have thought Arizona did enough in the regular season to send them through. Their last game was a win over Stanford, another mediocre Pac-10 team, just to get them to the .500 mark in conference play.
St. Mary’s has a higher RPI than Arizona, a better record, they played 8 straight games on the road and had a winning record in that span, and they’re NIT bound.
That’s a case of getting in on reputation.
My theory on why Andy Reid doesn't like running the football.
When Andy Reid was 6, his parents wanted him to lose some weight and always asked him to go to the park and run, Annoyed, Andy said "No I'll pass".
So St. Mary's should go take care of business in the NIT....
and then maybe in the future they’ll get the benefit of the doubt………Its hard to argue when there are 34 at large selections….not to mention when each team has a chance to win their own conference tourney to get in………….arguing about team 35/66 (however you wanna look at it) is rather pointless.
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12/19/08 - Thank you KLJ for coming into my life.
by norcaliangelsfan on Mar 15, 2009 8:41 PM EDT up reply actions
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