A Projection with 24 Hours to Go Until the Real Thing
by Chris Dobbertean on Mar 14, 2009 6:46 PM EDT
in bracket projections
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PrintCan you believe we're only 24 hours away from getting ready to think about the real bracket and making picks? I sure can't, as it seems like the season has just flown by, as always. There's still a lot that can happen over the next day, but let's take a look at where the bracket stands right now (at least according to me). (Seed List, Trends)
Pittsburgh wins by not playing, as they move up to the top spot overall after North Carolina's loss to Florida State this afternoon. The Tar Heels slip down to the number two overall seed. Louisville is third overall for now, as they still play Syracuse tonight for the Big East crown. Connecticut's standing also improved without any effort required on their part. The Huskies moved back up to the top line after Michigan State was dumped out of the Big Ten tournament by Ohio State.
Joining the Spartans on the two line are Conference USA champions Memphis, Oklahoma, and Duke. The Blue Devils defeated Maryland in the ACC semifinals today, meaning the door is open for them to potentially crack the top line tomorrow.
Kansas, Missouri, Villanova, and Wake Forest make up the three line. It's possible, but not likely that the Tigers move up if they win the Big 12 crown tonight.
Florida State jumps up to the 4 line after their win today. The Seminoles join Gonzaga, Washington, and Syracuse in the final group of protected seeds. It's possible that the Orange move up even further if they can complete another amazing Big East tourney run tonight.
I made some adjustments to the seedings for a few of the higher-ranked champions/auto bid holders of the one-bid leagues (Siena and Utah State, in particular), as they may get higher seeds than I've been anticipating of late because of the struggles of teams on lines 10-12.
Finally, there's one newcomer to this bracket. After spending quite a bit of time this afternoon on this (especially after creating the RPI only bracket), I added Creighton to this bracket, in place of Arizona. That decision could be made moot if USC defeats Arizona State in the Pac 10 final or Baylor knocks off Missouri in the Big 12 final.
My next update will come out sometime after midnight.
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Out of curiosity
What did you see that prompted you to take Creighton over Arizona?
by uclaisthebest123 on Mar 14, 2009 7:06 PM EDT reply actions
Their record in the last 12...
…and how they’ve played in the majority of those games. Well, with the exception of the Valley semi.
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by Chris Dobbertean on Mar 14, 2009 7:14 PM EDT reply actions
How is Pitt still ahead of Louisville for the overall #1 seed?!?!?
The part about Pitt winning because they aren’t playing (which means they LOST) is idiotic. They teams that are WINNING are the ones that are winning. Louisville beat Pitt, won the regular season title over Pitt in the conference people are saying is the best they’ve seen in years, and can potentially win the conference tourney again over Pitt. Now that means Louisville has proven in every way they possibly (except go undefeated) that they are more deserving than Pitt. What else can they do?!?!?!?
by anothermissed3byE5 on Mar 14, 2009 7:49 PM EDT reply actions
Win tonight...
…the big problem for Louisville is some of those losses earlier in the year hurt them. In my mind, they win tonight and that all disappears.
Visit bloggingthebracket.com, SBNation's, bracketology site!
by Chris Dobbertean on Mar 14, 2009 8:58 PM EDT up reply actions
OK...
…I see now. I didn’t read that part where you said “for now”. Misunderstood.
by anothermissed3byE5 on Mar 14, 2009 9:01 PM EDT up reply actions
USC Steals A Bid
With a win in the Pac-10 championship game, and they knock off another bubble team. Sorry Maryland, PSU, Creighton, and the rest.
